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破碎流程运行功率与产品粒度的预测元模型研究

Predictive metamodel for operating power and product particle size in crushing circuits

  • 摘要: 设备运行功率和产品粒度的准确预测是实现破碎流程智能化的基础。为实现该目标,以三鑫金铜矿破碎流程为例,采用BPS软件开展仿真研究。同时,基于仿真结果结合机器学习方法,对比9种不同算法的预测指标,最终构建破碎工艺参数预测元模型。结果表明:仿真获取的破碎流程工艺参数与流程考察相比具有很高精度,相对误差为0.190 %~7.349 %。粗碎、中碎、细碎的运行功率和最终产物P80的最佳预测元模型分别为Lasso、Ridge、GBDT和GBDT。其预测值与仿真值相对误差分别为0.889 %、0.702 %、1.990 %和0.361 %,反映各破碎工艺参数元模型均具有良好的预测精度。解释性分析结果表明:粗碎运行功率主要受给料F80、矿石A*b值和处理量影响;中碎运行功率主要受给料F80、中碎排矿口尺寸及处理量支配;细碎运行功率则由细碎排矿口尺寸和矿石A*b值主导;最终产物P80主要受一段筛和二段筛筛孔尺寸控制。研究结果可为复杂多变给料条件下破碎流程工艺指标预测、工艺参数调节和设备能耗优化提供数据驱动的决策依据,促进破碎流程智能化发展。

     

    Abstract: Accurate prediction of equipment operating power and product particle size is fundamental to the intelligentization of crushing circuits. The crushing circuit of the Sanxin Gold-Copper Mine was taken as the research object to achieve this goal, and simulation research was carried out by adopting BPS software. Meanwhile, combined with machine learning methods on the basis of the simulation results, prediction indicators of 9 different algorithms were compared, and a predictive metamodel for crushing process parameters was finally built. The results show that the crushing process parameters obtained by simulation agree well with the process survey data, with relative errors ranging from 0.190 % to 7.349 %. The optimal predictive metamodels for primary, secondary, and tertiary crushing operating power and final product P80 are Lasso, Ridge, GBDT, and GBDT, respectively. The relative errors between the predicted values and simulated values are 0.889 %, 0.702 %, 1.990 %, and 0.361 % respectively, indicating that all the metamodels for the crushing process parameters have sound prediction accuracy. Interpretability analysis results show that the primary crushing operating power is mainly influenced by feed F80, the ore A*b value and throughput, the secondary crushing operating power is governed by feed F80, secondary crusher closed side setting and throughput, and the tertiary crushing power is dominated by tertiary crusher closed side setting and the ore A*b value, with the final product P80 mainly controlled by the apertures of the primary and secondary screens. The findings provide data-driven decision support for the prediction of crushing process indicators, adjustment of process parameters, and optimization of equipment energy consumption in complex and varying feed conditions, thereby promoting the intelligent development of crushing circuits.

     

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