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基于AHP−TOPSIS法的某复杂富水矿床突水危险性评价

Water inrush risk evaluation in a complex water-rich deposit based on AHP−TOPSIS method

  • 摘要: 为精准评价刚果(金)Kolwezi 铜钴矿床复杂富水矿床的突水危险性,基于矿山水文地质条件,从地质构造特征、含水层水文地质特征、开采区与地表水体空间关系3方面选取断层充填物砂质占比、断层规模、单位涌水量、渗透系数、开采区与地表水体平面距离、开采区与地表水体垂向距离6项定量指标,构建突水危险性评价指标体系。通过层次分析法(AHP)确定指标权重,结合逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)对矿区突水危险性进行多因素综合评价。结果显示:露天采坑西部F2断层破碎带及东南部F3断层区域突水危险性等级指数分别为0.17(危险区)和0.87(较危险区),与揭露水文地质特征吻合。研究表明,AHP−TOPSIS模型可有效整合主客观权重,提升评价结果的科学性与可靠性,为类似矿山防治水工作提供理论依据。

     

    Abstract: To accurately assess the water inrush risk of the KOLWEZI copper−cobalt mine in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, we established a risk assessment index system based on the hydrogeological conditions of the mine. The system includes 6 quantitative indicators selected from 3 aspects: geological structure characteristics, aquifer hydrogeological characteristics, and the spatial relationship between the mining area and surface water bodies. These indicators are proportion of fault filling sandpaper, fault scale, unit water yield, permeability coefficient, horizontal distance, and vertical distance. The analytic hierarchy process(AHP) was used to determine the weights of these indicators, and the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS) was employed for a multi-factor comprehensive evaluation of the water inrush risk in the mining area. The results show that the water inrush risk index for the fractured zone of the F2 fault in the western part of the open pit is 0.17(danger zone), while the index for the F3 fault area in the southeastern part is 0.87(relatively dangerous zone), which aligns with the exposed hydrogeological characteristics. The study indicates that the AHP−TOPSIS model effectively integrates both subjective and objective weights, enhancing the scientific validity and reliability of the evaluation results. This provides a theoretical basis for water prevention and control efforts in similar mining operations.

     

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