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基于机器学习的胶结充填材料强度预测方法对比研究

A comparative study of strength prediction method of cemented backfill material based on machine learning

  • 摘要: 胶结充填技术在矿山可持续发展上发挥着关键作用,准确预测其单轴抗压强度对于优化充填采矿和保障采场稳定安全具有重要意义。传统强度预测方法耗时且成本较高,为探索更高效的预测手段,基于162组含7个输入特征(尾砂掺量、粉煤灰掺量、水泥掺量、聚丙烯纤维掺量、纤维长度、料浆浓度及养护龄期)的试验数据,对比了DeepXDE、XGBoost、LightGBM和CatBoost 4种机器学习模型。数据经过预处理后采用决定系数(R2)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)对模型性能进行评估,结果显示DeepXDE模型性能最优(R2=0.959 1,MAE=0.189 7,RMSE=0.263 6),显著优于其他对比模型。特征重要性分析表明,水泥掺量和料浆浓度是影响单轴抗压强度的主导因素。DeepXDE模型可作为矿山胶结充填材料单轴抗压强度的高效预测工具,为矿山智能充填设计提供重要参考。

     

    Abstract: Cemented backfill technology plays a key role in the sustainable development of mines. Accurate prediction of its uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) can optimize backfill mining design and ensure the safety and stability of the stope. Traditional strength prediction methods are time-consuming and laborious. In order to explore efficient prediction methods, this paper compared four machine learning models, DeepXDE, XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost based on 162 sets of test data containing seven input features (tailings, fly ash, cement, fiber content, fiber length, slurry concentration, and curing age). The model effect was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results show that the DeepXDE model has the best performance (R2 = 0.959 1, MAE = 0.189 7, RMSE = 0.263 6), which is significantly better than other comparison models. Feature importance analysis shows that cement dosage and slurry concentration are the dominant factors affecting UCS. DeepXDE can be used as an efficient prediction tool for UCS of cemented backfill materials for mines, providing an important reference for intelligent mine backfill design.

     

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